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Board » General Discussion » MOD70 polar development

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Posted by
SlashV


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2009-08-09 22:01:21
2012-12-26 00:33:49 - Re: MOD70 polar development
I've made the following approximation for the krys map:
lat = -2.855E-7 * x^2 - 0.002296592 * x + 69.251568
lon = 0.008093847 * y - 150.31126
Posted by
Tarco


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2011-11-09 21:54:22
2012-12-26 00:51:55 - Re: MOD70 polar development
This is my first draft : a BWR polar
I think timings are close to what happened, except in Euro-Leg 4, trajectories are not always right, though....
It still needs some corrections.

Don't use for navigation !!! :-)

--- Dernière modification par Tarco le 2012-12-26 00:52:59 ---
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Posted by
SlashV


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2013-01-13 04:24:06 - Re: MOD70 polar development
OK, found some time :) and created a script to parse the addviso xml files and 'enrich' the results with data from the grib files.
I will try to come up with a least squares fit for curves to match the data. Anyone know good basis functions for this?
I am curious how this will turn out. The data doesn't look particularly 'neat'. I attached some plots.
@Tarco. I'll have a look at your file as soon as I have some results of my own.
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Posted by
76Trombones


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2009-08-03 18:04:56
2013-01-14 15:28:00 - Re: MOD70 polar development
Those look great. Immediate impressions are of deeper vmg downwind and even more light wind speed. It looks like there are interesting things going on headsail reaching as well.
Posted by
Tarco


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2013-02-07 20:09:44 - Re: MOD70 polar development
Back after a month...
Is it only me ? I don't have access to Krys Ocean race tracker anymore...

My impression : when they pinch (TWA35), they are able to keep the speed they have build. When they haven't build the speed, they stay at half-ish the top speed they can reach.
That makes 2 sets of speed at low TWA. One set at almost twice the wind speed when they have build the top speed, coming from higher TWA and another set of "low" speed when the speed is not built yet... don't know if I'm clear...
That could probably be simulated by keeping the high speed with a huge loss of speed (50 % or so) when tacking at TWA 50 or less. Or maybe take a top speed of 3/4 of sample speed...

Back to sampling Euro Tour before it disappears too... New results in a few days.
Next races will be in june (Euro Tour) then October 2013 (World Tour in legs)

Posted by
Tarco


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2013-04-18 21:04:42 - Re: MOD70 polar development
Back again...
All the trackers have disappeared, so I can't go on with the calcs....

Here are the results I got, up to now. (see attached)

Between brackets, the number of occurences.
When I found several results, too different one from the other, I kept both.

I hope a polar can be created from that.
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Posted by
76Trombones


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2013-04-18 22:12:00 - Re: MOD70 polar development
Looks good Tarco - I think we probably have enough data for a good guess. I can help bring it all together, or would you like to do the honours?

They'll be racing the "Route des Princes" in June as 4 shorter legs around Europe. We might not be able to fit all legs in (though it would make a nice series). RC probably has an idea of what's on deck for June, but it's always a busy month. Even if we don't do them in SOL we can "race" the new polar as a final check.

The *big* race will be the Transat in November? I hope they all make it to the start.
Posted by
RainbowChaser


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2009-06-14 09:44:50
2013-04-18 22:30:18 - Re: MOD70 polar development
The SOL Racing Year shows what we have pretty much committed to in June .. it is a busy month... but if you can find a way to fit these new races in please feel free to do so! I am all for new ventures :-)

Are the races already in bed with a virtual sailing platform? If so, then that is another issue to be "managed" :-)
Posted by
Tarco


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2013-04-19 09:04:39 - Re: MOD70 polar development
I would really love to build the SOL polar.

As June is already overbooked, we should probably not try to run the Princes races. But we can use them to compare the "predicted" speeds to the real ones. They will probably publish a real time tracker on line.
Probably a good way to make corrections to the 'prototype'.

Then, maybe, run a short race in September as a warm-up for crews before the Atlantic race in November. The polar should be ready by then.

The only problem is that "How to create SOL polar for dummies" is not published yet... :-)
I'll probably (certainly) need some help... :-)
Posted by
Tarco


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2013-04-24 06:20:19 - Re: MOD70 polar development
76T, on second thought, I reckon you should create the "guessed" polar, so we could try it on a short race in may. And compare it to the real "Route des Princes" legs in June.

I believe that would take you a few hours when I would need weeks, if not more, just to understand how to do...

But I would like you to explain me afterwards, if you've got time to. :-)


--- Dernière modification par Tarco le 2013-04-24 09:49:59 ---

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